{
  "case_id": "piedade_boa_viagem_recife_2026",
  "runs": {
    "piedade_strict_pre_incident": {
      "warning_score": 0.0,
      "surveillance_priority_score": 9.0,
      "dominant_factors": [
        {
          "factor": "reef_dropoff_habitat_proximity",
          "points": 5,
          "rationale": "Baseline reef-barrier/channel context helps define a surveillance corridor; it is not a live condition."
        },
        {
          "factor": "activity_context",
          "points": 4,
          "rationale": "Bather/swimming context affects where an operator would observe."
        }
      ],
      "excluded_hindsight": [
        "Boa Viagem incident",
        "post-Piedade response activity",
        "post-incident CEMIT taxonomy as model input",
        "invented tide/current/turbidity/weather values"
      ]
    },
    "piedade_quiet_day": {
      "warning_score": 0.0,
      "surveillance_priority_score": 9.0,
      "dominant_factors": [
        {"factor": "reef_dropoff_habitat_proximity", "points": 5},
        {"factor": "activity_context", "points": 4}
      ]
    },
    "boa_viagem_strict_pre_incident": {
      "warning_score": 0.0,
      "surveillance_priority_score": 23.0,
      "dominant_factors": [
        {
          "factor": "recent_interactions_nearby",
          "points": 14,
          "rationale": "The previous day's Piedade incident is timeline-valid recent-interaction context."
        },
        {
          "factor": "reef_dropoff_habitat_proximity",
          "points": 5,
          "rationale": "Baseline reef-barrier/channel context helps define a surveillance corridor."
        },
        {
          "factor": "activity_context",
          "points": 4,
          "rationale": "Bather/swimming context affects where an operator would observe."
        }
      ],
      "piedade_to_boa_viagem_recent_interaction_lift": 14.0,
      "excluded_hindsight": [
        "post-Boa-Viagem response activity",
        "post-incident CEMIT taxonomy as model input",
        "invented tide/current/turbidity/weather values"
      ]
    },
    "boa_viagem_quiet_day": {
      "warning_score": 0.0,
      "surveillance_priority_score": 9.0,
      "dominant_factors": [
        {"factor": "reef_dropoff_habitat_proximity", "points": 5},
        {"factor": "activity_context", "points": 4}
      ]
    }
  },
  "missing_signal_sources": [
    "live sightings ingestion",
    "Recife/Pernambuco regional pack",
    "tide/current observations",
    "turbidity/water clarity",
    "rainfall/runoff lookback",
    "SST/anomaly",
    "human exposure estimates",
    "future telemetry ingestion"
  ],
  "operational_recommendation_factors": {
    "baseline_drone_patrol_windows": [
      "morning",
      "midday",
      "late afternoon / dusk"
    ],
    "adaptive_surge_monitoring_after": [
      "recent severe incident",
      "nearby sighting",
      "tagged-shark receiver detection later",
      "high human exposure",
      "tide/current overlap later",
      "turbidity/runoff overlap later"
    ],
    "recommended_patterns": [
      "shoreline_parallel_sweep",
      "reef_gap_focus_scan",
      "channel_mouth_pass",
      "post_sighting_focus_area"
    ]
  },
  "species_handling": {
    "piedade": "CEMIT preliminary adult bull shark assessment, Portuguese source term tubarão-cabeça-chata, approximately 2.5 m if retained from source; source-attributed only.",
    "boa_viagem": "CEMIT preliminary adult tiger shark assessment, Portuguese source term tubarão-tigre, approximately 3 m; source-attributed only.",
    "same_individual_assumption": false
  },
  "species_specific_explainability_factors": [
    {
      "factor": "piedade_source_attributed_bull_shark_suitability",
      "taxon": "adult bull shark",
      "portuguese_source_term": "tubarão-cabeça-chata",
      "points": 0,
      "classification_status": "preliminary_source_attributed",
      "model_input_for_strict_preincident": false
    },
    {
      "factor": "boa_viagem_source_attributed_tiger_shark_suitability",
      "taxon": "adult tiger shark",
      "portuguese_source_term": "tubarão-tigre",
      "points": 0,
      "classification_status": "preliminary_source_attributed",
      "model_input_for_strict_preincident": false
    },
    {
      "factor": "species_agnostic_recent_interaction_lift",
      "points": 14.0,
      "classification_status": "timeline_valid_cluster_context",
      "same_individual_assumption": false
    }
  ]
}