{
  "case_id": "lovers_point_pacific_grove_whale_carcass_2026",
  "initial_carcass_response": {
    "top_surveillance_factors": [
      {
        "factor": "biological_event_surveillance_context",
        "value": [
          "whale_carcass",
          "beach_closure"
        ],
        "points": 15.48,
        "rationale": "Carcass and fish-kill events have stronger surveillance influence than broad migration or prey context.",
        "contribution": 0.5497
      },
      {
        "factor": "kelp_forest_surveillance_context",
        "value": [
          "kelp_density_context",
          "kelp_forest_presence",
          "kelp_prey_overlap"
        ],
        "contexts": [
          "moderate",
          "pinniped_prey_overlap"
        ],
        "points": 8.48,
        "optimal_kelpedge_score": 1.74,
        "rationale": "Kelp forest context is bounded habitat information; it raises surveillance attention only when paired with edge habitat, prey, activity, or white shark regional context.",
        "contribution": 0.3011
      },
      {
        "factor": "activity_hazard_score",
        "value": 12,
        "points": 4.2,
        "rationale": "Activity hazard feeds surveillance priority separately from environmental warning score.",
        "contribution": 0.1491
      },
      {
        "factor": "recent_interactions_nearby",
        "value": 0,
        "points": 0,
        "rationale": "Recent public fatal/nonfatal interactions near the mission area increase search priority.",
        "contribution": 0.0
      },
      {
        "factor": "verified_sightings_nearby",
        "value": 0,
        "points": 0,
        "rationale": "Verified public sighting reports near the mission area increase search priority.",
        "contribution": 0.0
      },
      {
        "factor": "reef_dropoff_habitat_proximity",
        "value": 0,
        "points": 0,
        "rationale": "Reef, dropoff, channel, or habitat features can help define useful drone search zones.",
        "contribution": 0.0
      }
    ],
    "top_warning_factors": [
      {
        "factor": "biological_event_score",
        "value": 2,
        "points": 20.64,
        "rationale": "Whale carcass, stranding, baitfish, or prey event signal.",
        "contribution": 0.8698
      },
      {
        "factor": "regional_summer_high_exposure",
        "value": 6,
        "multiplier": 1.08,
        "points": 1.76,
        "rationale": "Regional seasonal multiplier.",
        "contribution": 0.0742
      },
      {
        "factor": "kelp_forest_habitat_context",
        "value": "moderate",
        "contexts": [
          "moderate",
          "pinniped_prey_context"
        ],
        "points": 1.33,
        "rationale": "Static kelp habitat is bounded environmental context; kelp alone is not treated as a high general warning driver.",
        "contribution": 0.056
      },
      {
        "factor": "rainfall_intensity_score",
        "value": 0,
        "points": 0,
        "rationale": "Rainfall in the previous 72 hours.",
        "contribution": 0.0
      },
      {
        "factor": "runoff_score",
        "value": 0,
        "points": 0.0,
        "rationale": "Rainfall/runoff proxy near coastal water.",
        "contribution": 0.0
      }
    ]
  },
  "drift_corridor_planning": {
    "top_surveillance_factors": [
      {
        "factor": "biological_event_surveillance_context",
        "value": [
          "whale_carcass",
          "beach_closure"
        ],
        "points": 15.48,
        "rationale": "Carcass and fish-kill events have stronger surveillance influence than broad migration or prey context.",
        "contribution": 0.5497
      },
      {
        "factor": "kelp_forest_surveillance_context",
        "value": [
          "kelp_density_context",
          "kelp_forest_presence",
          "kelp_prey_overlap"
        ],
        "contexts": [
          "moderate",
          "pinniped_prey_overlap"
        ],
        "points": 8.48,
        "optimal_kelpedge_score": 1.74,
        "rationale": "Kelp forest context is bounded habitat information; it raises surveillance attention only when paired with edge habitat, prey, activity, or white shark regional context.",
        "contribution": 0.3011
      },
      {
        "factor": "activity_hazard_score",
        "value": 12,
        "points": 4.2,
        "rationale": "Activity hazard feeds surveillance priority separately from environmental warning score.",
        "contribution": 0.1491
      },
      {
        "factor": "recent_interactions_nearby",
        "value": 0,
        "points": 0,
        "rationale": "Recent public fatal/nonfatal interactions near the mission area increase search priority.",
        "contribution": 0.0
      },
      {
        "factor": "verified_sightings_nearby",
        "value": 0,
        "points": 0,
        "rationale": "Verified public sighting reports near the mission area increase search priority.",
        "contribution": 0.0
      },
      {
        "factor": "reef_dropoff_habitat_proximity",
        "value": 0,
        "points": 0,
        "rationale": "Reef, dropoff, channel, or habitat features can help define useful drone search zones.",
        "contribution": 0.0
      }
    ],
    "top_warning_factors": [
      {
        "factor": "biological_event_score",
        "value": 2,
        "points": 20.64,
        "rationale": "Whale carcass, stranding, baitfish, or prey event signal.",
        "contribution": 0.8698
      },
      {
        "factor": "regional_summer_high_exposure",
        "value": 6,
        "multiplier": 1.08,
        "points": 1.76,
        "rationale": "Regional seasonal multiplier.",
        "contribution": 0.0742
      },
      {
        "factor": "kelp_forest_habitat_context",
        "value": "moderate",
        "contexts": [
          "moderate",
          "pinniped_prey_context"
        ],
        "points": 1.33,
        "rationale": "Static kelp habitat is bounded environmental context; kelp alone is not treated as a high general warning driver.",
        "contribution": 0.056
      },
      {
        "factor": "rainfall_intensity_score",
        "value": 0,
        "points": 0,
        "rationale": "Rainfall in the previous 72 hours.",
        "contribution": 0.0
      },
      {
        "factor": "runoff_score",
        "value": 0,
        "points": 0.0,
        "rationale": "Rainfall/runoff proxy near coastal water.",
        "contribution": 0.0
      }
    ],
    "drift_direction": "unavailable"
  },
  "hypothetical_nearby_sighting_sensitivity": {
    "top_surveillance_factors": [
      {
        "factor": "biological_event_surveillance_context",
        "value": [
          "whale_carcass",
          "beach_closure"
        ],
        "points": 15.48,
        "rationale": "Carcass and fish-kill events have stronger surveillance influence than broad migration or prey context.",
        "contribution": 0.3953
      },
      {
        "factor": "verified_sightings_nearby",
        "value": 1,
        "points": 11,
        "rationale": "Verified public sighting reports near the mission area increase search priority.",
        "contribution": 0.2809
      },
      {
        "factor": "kelp_forest_surveillance_context",
        "value": [
          "kelp_density_context",
          "kelp_forest_presence",
          "kelp_prey_overlap"
        ],
        "contexts": [
          "moderate",
          "pinniped_prey_overlap"
        ],
        "points": 8.48,
        "optimal_kelpedge_score": 1.74,
        "rationale": "Kelp forest context is bounded habitat information; it raises surveillance attention only when paired with edge habitat, prey, activity, or white shark regional context.",
        "contribution": 0.2165
      },
      {
        "factor": "activity_hazard_score",
        "value": 12,
        "points": 4.2,
        "rationale": "Activity hazard feeds surveillance priority separately from environmental warning score.",
        "contribution": 0.1073
      },
      {
        "factor": "recent_interactions_nearby",
        "value": 0,
        "points": 0,
        "rationale": "Recent public fatal/nonfatal interactions near the mission area increase search priority.",
        "contribution": 0.0
      },
      {
        "factor": "reef_dropoff_habitat_proximity",
        "value": 0,
        "points": 0,
        "rationale": "Reef, dropoff, channel, or habitat features can help define useful drone search zones.",
        "contribution": 0.0
      }
    ],
    "top_warning_factors": [
      {
        "factor": "biological_event_score",
        "value": 2,
        "points": 20.64,
        "rationale": "Whale carcass, stranding, baitfish, or prey event signal.",
        "contribution": 0.8698
      },
      {
        "factor": "regional_summer_high_exposure",
        "value": 6,
        "multiplier": 1.08,
        "points": 1.76,
        "rationale": "Regional seasonal multiplier.",
        "contribution": 0.0742
      },
      {
        "factor": "kelp_forest_habitat_context",
        "value": "moderate",
        "contexts": [
          "moderate",
          "pinniped_prey_context"
        ],
        "points": 1.33,
        "rationale": "Static kelp habitat is bounded environmental context; kelp alone is not treated as a high general warning driver.",
        "contribution": 0.056
      },
      {
        "factor": "rainfall_intensity_score",
        "value": 0,
        "points": 0,
        "rationale": "Rainfall in the previous 72 hours.",
        "contribution": 0.0
      },
      {
        "factor": "runoff_score",
        "value": 0,
        "points": 0.0,
        "rationale": "Rainfall/runoff proxy near coastal water.",
        "contribution": 0.0
      }
    ],
    "hypothetical": true
  },
  "taxonomy_handling": {
    "official_species_identification": "humpback whale",
    "historical_conflicting_identification_handling": "source-attributed metadata only"
  },
  "closure_metadata": {
    "active_beach_closure": true,
    "closure_monitoring_through": "2026-06-05"
  },
  "recommended_surveillance_patterns": [
    "carcass_event_buffer_zone",
    "shoreline_parallel_sweep",
    "kelp_edge_focus_scan",
    "future_down_current_drift_corridor"
  ]
}